Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 6.877540 7.948484 9.090136 10.393301 11.835088 13.376937 15.145868
2025-07-13 5.591387 7.097655 8.815147 10.900107 13.343693 16.097898 19.417120
2025-07-20 4.811781 6.646052 8.865261 11.703954 15.192258 19.292198 24.425460
2025-07-27 4.161134 6.221467 8.853963 12.382096 16.899227 22.399696 29.507188
2025-08-03 3.450130 5.589351 8.474771 12.519643 17.901756 24.671963 33.672263
2025-08-10 2.757620 4.857073 7.849919 12.236593 18.295050 26.154155 36.881847
2025-08-17 2.230529 4.267652 7.331634 12.015101 18.708878 27.636378 40.111545
2025-08-24 1.840464 3.816715 6.945111 11.916971 19.247336 29.268674 43.563938
2025-08-31 1.524334 3.427016 6.594142 11.818765 19.749683 30.842295 46.965510
2025-09-07 1.368823 3.290010 6.621082 12.281137 21.070504 33.581311 52.027245
2025-09-14 1.166160 3.025569 6.400711 12.325254 21.754260 35.429351 55.898584
2025-09-21 0.928525 2.640848 5.921136 11.898202 21.677978 36.160292 58.200746
2025-09-28 0.718413 2.268423 5.420719 11.400742 21.476314 36.724066 60.329950
2025-10-05 0.657380 2.220543 5.521801 11.941930 22.952929 39.834361 66.236231
2025-10-12 0.633801 2.258954 5.794057 12.801914 24.984849 43.847626 73.574396
2025-10-19 0.597894 2.258504 5.986438 13.526994 26.822334 47.617920 80.649248
2025-10-26 0.516454 2.117173 5.870661 13.673600 27.694682 49.924383 85.602594
2025-11-02 0.414422 1.886808 5.532767 13.370379 27.779087 50.995307 88.718185
2025-11-09 0.334162 1.693211 5.245389 13.133098 27.952801 52.197281 92.046437
2025-11-16 0.274733 1.544506 5.037047 13.027929 28.341279 53.738544 95.913189
2025-11-23 0.224910 1.409075 4.838937 12.922709 28.716314 55.259320 99.773646
2025-11-30 0.207067 1.389850 4.927492 13.417648 30.199774 58.628702 106.586880
2025-12-07 0.174329 1.295936 4.810247 13.464839 30.855593 60.644582 111.310403